Financial Letter - August 11th, 2019

Financial Letter

August 11, 2019

236 Issue (since 01/24/2015)   

CKL Inc. offers presently to his customers a portfolio based essentially on performance (0.9/10): the 0.9 indicates the annual administrative % cost of management; the 10 represents the 10% of management fees on the gains above the high-water mark.  The portfolio is made by only one ETF US plus options strategies of the US market. This style of portfolio requires a capital of 250,000US$ or equivalent in CAD and the level 4 in options negotiation. 

It is now available on Kindle and on other electronic reading platforms in French a short manual on the Day Trading. The title is: « Le ‘Day Trading’ ou La négociation sur séance (1)  », written by Charles K. Langford and Audrey Parent Thibeault.

It is available on Kindle and on similar electronic reading platforms, in French, a short manual on the put/call ratio. The title is: « L’antagonisme entre les options put et call: l’analyse du put/call ratio », written by Charles K. Langford and Laurence P. Darveau.   

The book “L’alchimie qui crée l’or – Le chasseur de tendances boursières II” is online (Amazon.ca and the title) on Kindle. It is in French. The book is a “bestseller” in the category business and finance. It's also available on all other readers platforms (Kobo, iBook, etc.).

A second book is available on the reading software like Kindle, Kobo, iBook, etc. Its title is “The Trend Hunter” and it is in English.

The website of Charles K. Langford Inc. is : www.charlesklangford.com 


Market Risk (Systematic Risk)

The market (S&P500 Index and its derivatives) was down 2.1% this week, due to the uncertainty about the negotiations between China and United States.

For our clients in the active trading portfolio (CKL0522), the following strategy was done:

Week of August 9th, 2019

This week's strategy was a bullish spread with puts with the SPY.

5 Short Put 2019/08/09 (283) @ 2.13 August 5, 2019
5 Long Put 2019/08/09 (280) @ 1.42 August 5, 2019 (Parachute)
Closed the short put 2019/08/09 (283) @ 0.12 August 8, 2019
Closed the long put 2019/08/09 (280) @ 0.06 August 8, 2019

Profit this weak on closed positions:

Short Put : 2.13-0.12 = +2.01
Long Put : 0.06-1.42 = -1.36
(+2.01-1.36 = 0.65)
Profit = +0.65 * 5 * 100 = 325$USD

The chart shows the SPY is still very bullish but the speed to go up (S1) has decelerated to S2. This means there is a weakening of the uptrend, but still the bullish bias is presently still strong.

The Langford Management

Presently our investments are in ETFs and ETN offering a high return, with a dividend yield between 5 to 10 % per year, at pro rata temporis, monthly. The market has a positive bias. We don’t think for the moment to change the allocation because also the products with higher returns are also bullish.

In the USD accounts, still we have cash in the form of FLOT, MINT, NEAR. In the CAD accounts, it is PSA or the equivalents. In the average, our portfolios are invested 60% in revenue and 40% in directivity.

In some, more aggressive accounts we have increased the capital synthetically with option strategies to profit of the upward momentum. In accounts that allow futures markets, we have futures contracts in long position on stock indexes.

Our portfolio management is always ad hoc, for each client. But also, we offer now five standardized mini-portfolios for clients interested:

  • Bullish aggressive
  • A contrarian as a hedge or profit
  • Bullish and dividend oriented
  • Against inflation
  • Bullish, aggressive on non-traditional assets.

(The portfolio management fees of Charles K. Langford Inc. is 0.9% of assets, per year (equivalent to $900 per $100,000). The capital under management is invested exclusively in ETF, ETN and options)

Among a group of selected stocks and ETFs, this week we have middle- and long-term buy signals on the following stocks and ETFs. 

TREND FOLLOWING

 

Middle-term bullish

Long-term bullish

Canadian Market

NRTH.V
TBP.V
FTT.TO

BHS.V
EL.V
EVE.V
HAWK.V
ROS.V
SSP.V
GPR.TO
MAX.TO
TA.TO

About Options

Investors that believe the current Canadian market offers interesting bullish opportunities, they can buy the call TA (stock closed Friday at $8.51) September 20/7.00 @ $1.55 whose delta is 0.95 and gamma 0.10 (accelerator of delta). This call will offer a profit of 95% of the stock increase at a cost that is about 5 times lower than the present price. If the stock goes down, the maximum loss is the premium.