Financial Letter - June 2nd, 2019
226th Issue (since 01/24/2015)
CKL Inc. offers presently to his customers a portfolio based essentially on performance (0.9/10): the 0.9 indicates the annual administrative % cost of management; the 10 represents the 10% of management fees on the gains above the high-water mark. The portfolio is made by only one ETF US plus options strategies of the US market. This style of portfolio requires a capital of 250,000US$ or equivalent in CAD and the level 4 in options negotiation.
It is now available on Kindle and on other electronic reading platforms in French a short manual on the Day Trading. The title is: « Le ‘Day Trading’ ou La négociation sur séance (1) », written by Charles K. Langford and Audrey Parent Thibeault.
Sur Kindle et autres plateformes électroniques de lecture est apparu un court texte en français, dont le titre est « ‘», écrit par Charles K. Langford et Audrey Parent Thibeault.
It is now available on Kindle and on similar electronic reading platforms in French a short manual on the put/call ratio. The title is: « L’antagonisme entre les options put et call: l’analyse du put/call ratio », written by Charles K. Langford and Laurence P. Darveau.
The book “L’alchimie qui crée l’or – Le chasseur de tendances boursières II” is online (Amazon.ca and the title) on Kindle. It is in French. The book is now a “bestseller” in the category business and finance. It's also available on all other readers platforms (Kobo, iBook, etc.).
A second book is available on the reading software like Kindle, Kobo, iBook, etc. Its title is “The Trend Hunter” and it is in English.
The website of Charles K. Langford Inc. is : www.charlesklangford.com
Market Risk (Systematic Risk)
The market (S&P500 Index with its FNB SPY and its derivatives) ended the week with a loss of 2.6% at 2,752.06 points compared to the previous Friday at 2826.06 points. This is the 4th week of the downtrend : in May the market is down 6.6%. All sectors are down, especially the energy (down 4.4% this week) due to the potential risk of U.S. tariff on crude oil from Gulf of Mexico.
This drawdown is due to the negotiations (or, apparently, the lack of them) between China and the U.S. for a new commercial treaty between the two Countries.
We believe the market is, still in this moment, globally bullish and we keep our long positions, despite the disturbing drawdown .
The chart below shows the recent gaps that the market should cover and this favors a rally. Also the volume is decreasing showing a diminished credibility of the downtrend. The market looks oversold.
The indicator CKL21 – see chart 4) shows the market (SPY) is neutral and can take a bullish or bearish bias in the following days. For more information about this indicator read the short text “Put/Call ratio” (see above).
The Langford Management
Presently our investments are in ETFs and ETN offering a high return, with a dividend yield between 5 to 10 % per year, at pro rata temporis, monthly. The market has still a strong positive bias. We don’t think for the moment to change the allocation because also the products with higher returns are also bullish.
In the USD accounts, still we have cash, in the form of FLOT, MINT, NEAR. In the CAD accounts, it is PSA or the equivalents. In the average, our portfolios are invested 60% in revenue and 40% in directivity.
In some, more aggressive accounts we have increased the capital synthetically with option strategies to profit of the actual upward strong momentum. In accounts that allow futures markets, we have futures contracts in long position on stock indexes.
Our portfolio management is always ad hoc, for each client. But also, we offer now five standardized mini-portfolios for clients interested:
- Bullish aggressive
- A contrarian as a hedge or profit
- Bullish and dividend oriented
- Against inflation
- Bullish, aggressive on non-traditional assets.
(The portfolio management fees of Charles K. Langford Inc. is 0.9% of assets, per year (equivalent to $900 per $100,000). The capital under management is invested exclusively in ETF, ETN and options)
Among a group of selected stocks and ETFs, the week just ended has given middle- and long-term buy signals for the following stocks and ETFs.
TREND FOLLOWING
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Middle-term bullish |
Long-term bullish |
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Canadian Market |
GDNP.V |
BAY.V |
About Options
Investors that believe the current Canadian market offers interesting bullish opportunities, they can buy the call DGC (stock closed Friday at $12.75) July 19/11.00 @ $1.89 whose delta is 0.89 and gamma 0.12 (accelerator of delta). This call will offer a profit of 89% of the stock increase at a cost that is about 7 times lower than the present price. If the stock goes down, the maximum loss is the premium.
SPY - Daily - 2019/05/31
SPY - Weekly - 2019/05/31
VIX - Daily - 2019/05/31
Put/Call ratio - 2019/05/31
